Published odds

Chance of pulling at least one card of each tier, per pack. These are the numbers the server draws against. See provable fairness for how to check that yourself.

Read the EV column. It is the average value of a pack at current market prices. Price is EV plus a 35% margin, so every pack is negative expected value for you by design. The median pack is worth noticeably less than the average, because a few large pulls carry it.

Pack	Cards	Ultra	Secret	EV	Price
Shining FatesSword & Shield	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.02610 SOL$2.77	0.03523 SOL$3.74
Darkness AblazeSword & Shield	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.03307 SOL$3.51	0.04465 SOL$4.74
Champion's PathSword & Shield	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.04032 SOL$4.28	0.05445 SOL$5.78
Vivid VoltageSword & Shield	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.04042 SOL$4.29	0.05455 SOL$5.79
Journey TogetherScarlet & Violet	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.04117 SOL$4.37	0.05558 SOL$5.90
Surging SparksScarlet & Violet	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.04268 SOL$4.53	0.05766 SOL$6.12
Steam SiegeXY	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.04334 SOL$4.60	0.05850 SOL$6.21
Obsidian FlamesScarlet & Violet	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.04334 SOL$4.60	0.05850 SOL$6.21
Crown ZenithSword & Shield	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.04786 SOL$5.08	0.06463 SOL$6.86
Prismatic EvolutionsScarlet & Violet	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.04842 SOL$5.14	0.06538 SOL$6.94
Scarlet & VioletScarlet & Violet	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.04908 SOL$5.21	0.06623 SOL$7.03
Paradox RiftScarlet & Violet	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.04993 SOL$5.30	0.06745 SOL$7.16
Paldean FatesScarlet & Violet	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.05097 SOL$5.41	0.06877 SOL$7.30
Sword & ShieldSword & Shield	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.05134 SOL$5.45	0.06934 SOL$7.36
Stellar CrownScarlet & Violet	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.05332 SOL$5.66	0.07198 SOL$7.64
Mega EvolutionMega Evolution	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.05389 SOL$5.72	0.07273 SOL$7.72
Astral RadianceSword & Shield	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.05417 SOL$5.75	0.07311 SOL$7.76
Sun & MoonSun & Moon	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.05455 SOL$5.79	0.07367 SOL$7.82
Brilliant StarsSword & Shield	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.05681 SOL$6.03	0.07669 SOL$8.14
Destined RivalsScarlet & Violet	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.05728 SOL$6.08	0.07734 SOL$8.21
Emerging PowersBlack & White	10	7.0%	-	0.06001 SOL$6.37	0.08102 SOL$8.60
Battle StylesSword & Shield	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.06152 SOL$6.53	0.08309 SOL$8.82
Twilight MasqueradeScarlet & Violet	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.06171 SOL$6.55	0.08328 SOL$8.84
Guardians RisingSun & Moon	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.06359 SOL$6.75	0.08582 SOL$9.11
Phantasmal FlamesMega Evolution	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.06529 SOL$6.93	0.08818 SOL$9.36
Silver TempestSword & Shield	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.06661 SOL$7.07	0.08987 SOL$9.54
Fusion StrikeSword & Shield	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.06679 SOL$7.09	0.09016 SOL$9.57
EvolutionsXY	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.06745 SOL$7.16	0.09110 SOL$9.67
Crimson InvasionSun & Moon	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.06764 SOL$7.18	0.09129 SOL$9.69
Burning ShadowsSun & Moon	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.06905 SOL$7.33	0.09327 SOL$9.90
Rebel ClashSword & Shield	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.07019 SOL$7.45	0.09477 SOL$10.06
Fates CollideXY	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.07273 SOL$7.72	0.09816 SOL$10.42
Temporal ForcesScarlet & Violet	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.07603 SOL$8.07	0.1026 SOL$10.89
Paldea EvolvedScarlet & Violet	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.07659 SOL$8.13	0.1034 SOL$10.98
Chilling ReignSword & Shield	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.07687 SOL$8.16	0.1038 SOL$11.02
Pokémon GOSword & Shield	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.07753 SOL$8.23	0.1047 SOL$11.11
Shrouded FableScarlet & Violet	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.08385 SOL$8.90	0.1132 SOL$12.02
XYXY	10	7.0%	-	0.08441 SOL$8.96	0.1140 SOL$12.10
Roaring SkiesXY	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.08686 SOL$9.22	0.1173 SOL$12.45
Primal ClashXY	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.08771 SOL$9.31	0.1184 SOL$12.57
BREAKpointXY	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.09016 SOL$9.57	0.1217 SOL$12.92
Furious FistsXY	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.09703 SOL$10.30	0.1310 SOL$13.91
BREAKthroughXY	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.09939 SOL$10.55	0.1342 SOL$14.24
Lost OriginSword & Shield	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.1091 SOL$11.58	0.1472 SOL$15.63
FlashfireXY	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.1105 SOL$11.73	0.1492 SOL$15.84
Ancient OriginsXY	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.1178 SOL$12.50	0.1590 SOL$16.88
Hidden FatesSun & Moon	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.1276 SOL$13.54	0.1722 SOL$18.28
151Scarlet & Violet	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.1324 SOL$14.05	0.1787 SOL$18.97
Phantom ForcesXY	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.1458 SOL$15.48	0.1969 SOL$20.90
Next DestiniesBlack & White	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.1530 SOL$16.24	0.2065 SOL$21.92
Forbidden LightSun & Moon	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.1542 SOL$16.37	0.2082 SOL$22.10
Plasma BlastBlack & White	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.1557 SOL$16.53	0.2103 SOL$22.32
Noble VictoriesBlack & White	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.1633 SOL$17.33	0.2204 SOL$23.40
Evolving SkiesSword & Shield	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.1716 SOL$18.22	0.2318 SOL$24.60
Shining LegendsSun & Moon	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.1718 SOL$18.24	0.2319 SOL$24.62
Black & WhiteBlack & White	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.1719 SOL$18.25	0.2321 SOL$24.64
Celestial StormSun & Moon	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.1741 SOL$18.48	0.2350 SOL$24.95
Dragons ExaltedBlack & White	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.1953 SOL$20.73	0.2637 SOL$27.99
Plasma StormBlack & White	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.2009 SOL$21.32	0.2711 SOL$28.78
Boundaries CrossedBlack & White	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.2194 SOL$23.29	0.2962 SOL$31.44
HS UnleashedHeartGold & SoulSilver	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.2307 SOL$24.49	0.3115 SOL$33.06
Lost ThunderSun & Moon	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.2318 SOL$24.60	0.3129 SOL$33.21
Plasma FreezeBlack & White	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.2362 SOL$25.07	0.3188 SOL$33.84
Ultra PrismSun & Moon	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.2438 SOL$25.88	0.3292 SOL$34.94
Mysterious TreasuresDiamond & Pearl	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.2602 SOL$27.62	0.3513 SOL$37.29
Secret WondersDiamond & Pearl	10	7.0%	-	0.2644 SOL$28.07	0.3570 SOL$37.89
Dragon MajestySun & Moon	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.2646 SOL$28.09	0.3572 SOL$37.92
HS TriumphantHeartGold & SoulSilver	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.2805 SOL$29.77	0.3786 SOL$40.19
Ruby & SapphireEX	9	7.0%	-	0.2859 SOL$30.35	0.3860 SOL$40.97
Unbroken BondsSun & Moon	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.3038 SOL$32.25	0.4102 SOL$43.54
Diamond & PearlDiamond & Pearl	10	7.0%	-	0.3099 SOL$32.89	0.4183 SOL$44.40
Great EncountersDiamond & Pearl	10	7.0%	-	0.3130 SOL$33.22	0.4225 SOL$44.85
Unified MindsSun & Moon	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.3168 SOL$33.63	0.4277 SOL$45.40
Legends AwakenedDiamond & Pearl	10	7.0%	-	0.3334 SOL$35.39	0.4501 SOL$47.78
Base Set 2Base	11	-	-	0.3485 SOL$36.99	0.4705 SOL$49.94
StormfrontDiamond & Pearl	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.3620 SOL$38.43	0.4888 SOL$51.88
Dark ExplorersBlack & White	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.3745 SOL$39.75	0.5055 SOL$53.66
Cosmic EclipseSun & Moon	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.3923 SOL$41.64	0.5295 SOL$56.21
PlatinumPlatinum	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.3959 SOL$42.02	0.5344 SOL$56.73
Legendary TreasuresBlack & White	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.3980 SOL$42.25	0.5374 SOL$57.04
ArceusPlatinum	10	7.0%	-	0.4136 SOL$43.90	0.5584 SOL$59.27
HS UndauntedHeartGold & SoulSilver	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.4286 SOL$45.49	0.5785 SOL$61.41
EmeraldEX	9	7.0%	0.98%	0.4362 SOL$46.30	0.5889 SOL$62.51
Hidden LegendsEX	9	7.0%	0.98%	0.4484 SOL$47.60	0.6054 SOL$64.26
Supreme VictorsPlatinum	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.4608 SOL$48.91	0.6221 SOL$66.03
SandstormEX	9	7.0%	-	0.4694 SOL$49.83	0.6337 SOL$67.27
GenerationsXY	10	7.0%	-	0.4719 SOL$50.09	0.6370 SOL$67.62
Rising RivalsPlatinum	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.4758 SOL$50.50	0.6423 SOL$68.18
Majestic DawnDiamond & Pearl	10	7.0%	-	0.5161 SOL$54.78	0.6967 SOL$73.95
Legend MakerEX	9	7.0%	0.98%	0.5190 SOL$55.09	0.7006 SOL$74.37
Power KeepersEX	9	7.0%	-	0.5298 SOL$56.24	0.7152 SOL$75.92
DragonEX	9	7.0%	0.98%	0.5413 SOL$57.46	0.7308 SOL$77.57
Legendary CollectionOther	11	-	-	0.5717 SOL$60.68	0.7718 SOL$81.92
Crystal GuardiansEX	9	7.0%	-	0.5906 SOL$62.69	0.7973 SOL$84.63
BaseBase	11	-	-	0.6016 SOL$63.86	0.8122 SOL$86.21
White FlareScarlet & Violet	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.6469 SOL$68.67	0.8733 SOL$92.70
Black BoltScarlet & Violet	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.6784 SOL$72.01	0.9158 SOL$97.21
FireRed & LeafGreenEX	9	7.0%	0.98%	0.6996 SOL$74.26	0.9444 SOL$100
HeartGold & SoulSilverHeartGold & SoulSilver	10	7.0%	0.98%	0.7060 SOL$74.94	0.9531 SOL$101
Team Magma vs Team AquaEX	9	7.0%	0.98%	0.7074 SOL$75.09	0.9550 SOL$101
Unseen ForcesEX	9	7.0%	0.98%	0.7202 SOL$76.45	0.9723 SOL$103
DeoxysEX	9	7.0%	0.98%	0.7503 SOL$79.64	1.013 SOL$108
Team UpSun & Moon	10	31.0%	2.10%	0.8606 SOL$91.35	1.162 SOL$123
Dragon FrontiersEX	9	7.0%	-	0.8867 SOL$94.12	1.197 SOL$127
Call of LegendsHeartGold & SoulSilver	10	-	-	0.9333 SOL$99.07	1.260 SOL$134
Holon PhantomsEX	9	7.0%	0.98%	1.098 SOL$117	1.483 SOL$157
FossilBase	11	-	-	1.155 SOL$123	1.560 SOL$166
JungleBase	11	-	-	1.182 SOL$125	1.596 SOL$169
Team RocketBase	11	-	-	1.190 SOL$126	1.606 SOL$170
Team Rocket ReturnsEX	9	7.0%	0.98%	1.215 SOL$129	1.641 SOL$174
Neo DiscoveryNeo	11	-	-	1.274 SOL$135	1.720 SOL$183
Neo GenesisNeo	11	-	-	1.283 SOL$136	1.732 SOL$184
Double CrisisXY	10	23.8%	-	1.284 SOL$136	1.734 SOL$184
Gym HeroesGym	11	-	-	1.299 SOL$138	1.753 SOL$186
Neo RevelationNeo	11	-	-	1.515 SOL$161	2.045 SOL$217
Delta SpeciesEX	9	7.0%	0.98%	1.547 SOL$164	2.088 SOL$222
Expedition Base SetE-Card	9	-	-	1.613 SOL$171	2.177 SOL$231
Gym ChallengeGym	11	-	-	1.699 SOL$180	2.293 SOL$243
AquapolisE-Card	9	-	1.05%	2.092 SOL$222	2.824 SOL$300
Neo DestinyNeo	11	-	-	2.453 SOL$260	3.312 SOL$352
SkyridgeE-Card	9	-	1.05%	3.165 SOL$336	4.273 SOL$454

Market prices come from TCGplayer via the Pokémon TCG API and are refreshed when the catalogue is rebuilt. Four sets are too recent to have reliable pricing and are not on sale.